Calculated Risk: Feb 16th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Decreased


by Calculated Risk on 2/16/2024 08:11:00 PM

Mortgage RatesNote: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.

Due to changes at the CDC, weekly cases are no longer updated.

For deaths, I’m currently using 4 weeks ago for “now”, since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly.

Hospitalizations have more than tripled from a low of 5,150 in June 2023, however, they have declined sharply from around 30,000 early this year.

COVID Metrics
  Now Week
Ago
Goal
Hospitalized2 17,840 19,796 ≤3,0001
Deaths per Week2 2,152 2,457 ≤3501
1my goals to stop weekly posts,
2Weekly for Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
🚩 Increasing number weekly for Hospitalized and Deaths

✅ Goal met.


COVID-19 Deaths per WeekClick on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the weekly (columns) number of deaths reported.

Weekly deaths have more than quadrupled from a low of 485 in early July.  Still weekly deaths are far below the weekly peak of 26,000 in January 2021.  Weekly deaths will likely decline soon.

And here is a graph I’m following on COVID in wastewater as of Feb 9th:

COVID-19 WastewaterThis appears to be a leading indicator for COVID hospitalizations and deaths.

Nationally, COVID in wastewater is now off more than 50% from the holiday peak at the end of December, and that suggests weekly deaths will continue to decline. The South region still has high levels of COVID in wastewater.



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