Calculated Risk: September 27th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Declining


by Calculated Risk on 9/27/2024 07:20:00 PM

Mortgage RatesNote: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.

For deaths, I’m currently using 4 weeks ago for “now”, since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly.

Note: “Effective May 1, 2024, hospitals are no longer required to report COVID-19 hospital admissions, hospital capacity, or hospital occupancy data.”  So I’m no longer tracking hospitalizations.

COVID Metrics
  Now Week
Ago
Goal
Deaths per Week🚩 1,239 1,176 ≤3501
1my goals to stop weekly posts,
🚩 Increasing number weekly for Deaths

✅ Goal met.


COVID-19 Deaths per WeekClick on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the weekly (columns) number of deaths reported.

Although weekly deaths met the original goal to stop posting, I’m going to continue to post now that deaths are above the goal again.  

Weekly deaths are quadruple the low of 302 in early June.

And here is a graph I’m following concerning COVID in wastewater as of September 19th:

COVID-19 WastewaterThis appears to be a leading indicator for COVID hospitalizations and deaths.

COVID in wastewater is now declining suggesting weekly deaths will start declining soon.



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