Calculated Risk: November 8th COVID Update: Deaths Continues to Decline


by Calculated Risk on 11/08/2024 07:02:00 PM

Mortgage RatesNote: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.

For deaths, I’m currently using 4 weeks ago for “now”, since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly.

Note: “Effective May 1, 2024, hospitals are no longer required to report COVID-19 hospital admissions, hospital capacity, or hospital occupancy data.”  So I’m no longer tracking hospitalizations.

COVID Metrics
  Now Week
Ago
Goal
Deaths per Week 759 935 ≤3501
1my goals to stop weekly posts,
? Increasing number weekly for Deaths

✅ Goal met.


COVID-19 Deaths per WeekClick on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the weekly (columns) number of deaths reported.

Although weekly deaths met the original goal to stop posting, I’m continuing to post now that deaths are above the goal again.  

Weekly deaths are now declining and will likely continue to decline based on wastewater sampling but are still more than double the low of 302 in early June.

And here is a graph I’m following concerning COVID in wastewater as of November 7th:

COVID-19 WastewaterThis appears to be a leading indicator for COVID hospitalizations and deaths.

COVID in wastewater is fairly low – only about 50% higher than the lows of last May – suggesting weekly deaths will continue to decline.



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